Manifesto For Turning Around the Jamaican Economy
The goal of this document is to outline some REAL WORLD STRATEGIES that could be implemented, which could help turn around the Jamaican economy and make govt. see a SURPLUS in its REVENUE STREAM.
One needs to read this document with an OPEN MIND and understand that many of these ideas were actually implemented by other nations around the globe. In each recommendation, I will attempt to name the SOURCE of which the idea came from and it’s IMPACT on that particular country.
1a. Renegotiate current agreement with the IMF, by ENSURING that the country’s revenue is NOT ALL BEING CONSUMED BY SERVICING LOANS. Jamaica is currently about US$17 billion in debt. It pays about US$276 million each year on SERVICING this debt. This eats up ALL its foreign currency revenues and cripples government in it’s operations and obligations to the country’s citizens.
This is about CASH FLOW, so the GOAL of re-negotiating this IMF deal would be to have a POSITIVE CASH FLOW of US$176 million going into the govt. COFFERS and a US$100 million going to debt servicing. Then DEMAND DEBT FORGIVENESS on a certain dollar amount that the country owes on it’s OLDEST DEBTS. This would ELIMINATE the need for any more IMF loans and would STABILIZE the Jamaican currency almost overnight – even to the point of RE-VALUATION! This thinking was influenced by HUGO CHAVEZ’s moves to make his country his priority and not allow entities like the IMF to DICTATE how the country’s fiscal policies should be.
1b. Re-establish the FREE TRADE ZONE. This would make Jamaica a LOGISTICS HUB and bring in much needed re-distribution, (warehousing), and manufacturing jobs. Companies would benefit from DUTY FREE importing and re-exporting business to the region. The geographic location of the island makes this extremely viable and would complement China’s plans to build a new canal through Central America… We could ANTICIPATE this economic boom if we act now. Dubai, (part of the United Arab Emirates), gets 70% of its revenue from the logistics/re-exporting business! I saw this for myself first hand. The GOOD OL BOYS who make up the JMA, need to step aside and allow this to happen – for they seek to MAINTAIN THE MONOPOLY they have on certain markets.
1c. From this new found CASH FLOW, implement the programs listed below and IMMEDIATELY divert MORE resources to CRIME FIGHTING and BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT… Remove all RED TAPE – which currently DISCOURAGES farmers from farming. By simply holding TOWN HALL MEETINGS, you can fix this problem.
2. Assess ALL UNUSED GOVERNMENT LAND and make plans to create ORGANIC FOODS GOVERNMENT FARMS.
Establish UNEMPLOYMENT OFFICES in each Parish and get every single unemployed, able bodied person to sign up for employment on these farms. Employment can be INCENTIVE BASED, which would drive PRODUCTION and workers would receive QUARTERLY BONUSES based on each farm’s PROFITS. This program should be carefully PLANNED – to ensure that geographic location, soil and other considerations would work for the particular crop being planted. Redouble effort to increase: COCONUTS, BANANAS, COFFEE and SUGAR production. These crops should be NATIONALIZED. Coffee commands a US$46 per pound, rated amongst the BEST in the world and should NOT be owned by any private entity.
3. On some of these GOVERNMENT FARMS, increase production of CHICKENS that are both egg producing and meat producing. Utilize some modern technologies BUT keep the product ORGANIC. There is a GROWING ORGANIC FOODS demand in the US – being driven by retailers such as Whole Foods, etc. Jamaica is not taking advantage of it. Once PRODUCTION LEVELS are sufficient to meet local AND export demands, CUT IMPORTS of farm goods. Also institute a LUXURY TAX on GAS GUZZLING CARS and certain luxury goods that exceed a certain dollar amount.
4. LEGALIZE MARIJUANA and TAX IT’S EXPORT to other countries and/or grow it on govt. farms and export to states in the US that have legalized it for medical use. FACT: Revenue from illegally exported Marijuana topped JA$800 million in the 80’s. The govt. ATTEMPTED to tax the top 21 Marijuana farmers, who refuted with the argument: HOW CAN YOU TAX SOMETHING YOU HAVE DECLARED ILLEGAL? FACT: Jamaica’s Marijuana has 70% MORE THC than US Marijuana – which would command a PREMIUM PRICE. Allow the production of HEMP PRODUCTS – which could derive CONCRETE, ROPE, FABRICS, etc. The EU is already doing this. You would see a TREMENDOUS REVENUE STREAM from this one implementation.
5. Streamline the tax revenue system by modernizing it. Ensure that EVERY privately owned property is listed and that PROPERTY TAXES are being collected. Ensure that the Parishes benefit from this tax, for schools, roads, etc. and not the central govt. then establish SUBSIDIES for any parish that has a SHORTFALL in tax revenue – due to low population levels.
Once you implement ALL the above, one can easily project a SURPLUS in the Jamaican foreign exchange cash flow system of at least US$200 million for the first year. After ALL has been implemented, the govt. could see a CASH FLOW SURPLUS of US $500 in about 3 years. Income alone from marijuana and the NATIONALIZED CASH CROPS, coffee, bananas, sugar and coconuts could easily EXCEED this estimate. Income from Re-exporting and free trade zone will take longer to materialize but will also be a monster unto itself. So, it’s NOT far fetched to see Jamaica’s annual revenue stream approach the US $1billion mark in about 5 – 7 years after ALL programs are implemented.
– Patrick Valentine.
The presentation below was a SURPRISE to me – for I had not seen it before proposing the ideas set forth above:
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Very interesting article in which some very great solutions to Jamaica’s debt issues were documented!
I also suggest much investment in education tech, computers. Revamping of the tourist industry the cruise ships stopping the tourist shopping must be enlarged to the locals. Offshore gambling get the church out of governing the country.
” It pays about US$276 million each year on SERVICING this debt. ……. This is about CASH FLOW, so the GOAL of re-negotiating this IMF deal would be to have a POSITIVE CASH FLOW of US$176 million going into the govt. COFFERS” Does the government pay US$176 million to the IMF annually? If not, then how would re-negotiating the IMF deal put US$176 million into the government coffers? Who is Jamaica’s largest creditor? Maybe that is the debt that needs restructuring/forgiveness? Will you check that fact and share it with us? If it causes you to re-evaluate your position, will… Read more »
And I suggested that the Kingston harbor and Prime real estate in thAt vicinity be looked at for its investment potential. Would Jamaica consider Casino
At least you have a plan. Have not seen any from those elected. Guess we can see who the real leader is here.
At least you have a plan. Have not seen any from those elected. Guess we can see who the real leader is here.
Mr Valentine you raised some ideas that are interesting and i would love to see more Jamaicans thinking like this, some of your ideas are actually currently in use, Jamaica has already engaged in two debt restructuring exercises within the local bonds market as the majority of the sovereign debt is locally held, not foreign as you infer, the demand of debt forgiveness is technically a default and a very risky one at that, it would effectively shatter our sovereign credit rating and actually create immense pressure on the economy,now countries like Argentina and Veneuzela have successfully taken the gamble… Read more »
a #StrategicDefault is jamaica’s only hope… constantly borrowing like we recently did.. borrowed US $800 000 000 to repay a loan of 150 000 000 pound borrowed a few years ago at outrageous interest rates is a no win situation… the article downplayed hte actual amount of interst jamaica pays on its debt…at an everage of say 10% .. the interst cost is closer to US2 000 000 000
Patrick, you have put some very eye-opening proposals on the table. A very well-thought out article and I really like your ideas on farming and taxing marijuana. It is not a matter of “if” it ever becomes legal.. we have seen sweeping reform in the U.S. regarding marijuana laws. Such an amazing amount of year round sunshine to grow and harvest just about everything the world loves to eat and drink. Organic and urban farming is on the rise, and dare I mention solar energy projects to reduce the burden of electricity consumption? Great writings!!
This is an interesting article and I like that it takes ideas from around the world where they have been tested. A few years ago I would have agreed with a lot of it but there is a major flaw in implementing such ideas in Jamaica. The first of these is that there is not the governance and by that I mean the fiscal discipline to support the theory of debt re-negotiation. There is absolutely no point in lessening the debt only to have the recreated benefits disappearing into the black hole of government finance. This needs tackling and shackling… Read more »
WHAT ABOUT TAKINT THE RICHEST MAN IN BABYLON APPROACH
Mr Valentine you raised some ideas that are interesting and i would love to see more Jamaicans thinking like this, some of your ideas are actually currently in use, Jamaica has already engaged in two debt restructuring exercises within the local bonds market as the majority of the sovereign debt is locally held, not foreign as you infer, the demand of debt forgiveness is technically a default and a very risky one at that, it would effectively shatter our sovereign credit rating and actually create immense pressure on the economy,now countries like Argentina and Veneuzela have successfully taken the gamble… Read more »
Patrick, you have put some very eye-opening proposals on the table. A very well-thought out article and I really like your ideas on farming and taxing marijuana. It is not a matter of “if” it ever becomes legal.. we have seen sweeping reform in the U.S. regarding marijuana laws. Such an amazing amount of year round sunshine to grow and harvest just about everything the world loves to eat and drink. Organic and urban farming is on the rise, and dare I mention solar energy projects to reduce the burden of electricity consumption? Great writings!!
a #StrategicDefault is jamaica’s only hope… constantly borrowing like we recently did.. borrowed US $800 000 000 to repay a loan of 150 000 000 pound borrowed a few years ago at outrageous interest rates is a no win situation… the article downplayed hte actual amount of interst jamaica pays on its debt…at an everage of say 10% .. the interst cost is closer to US2 000 000 000
At least you have a plan. Have not seen any from those elected. Guess we can see who the real leader is here.
And I suggested that the Kingston harbor and Prime real estate in thAt vicinity be looked at for its investment potential. Would Jamaica consider Casino
” It pays about US$276 million each year on SERVICING this debt. ……. This is about CASH FLOW, so the GOAL of re-negotiating this IMF deal would be to have a POSITIVE CASH FLOW of US$176 million going into the govt. COFFERS” Does the government pay US$176 million to the IMF annually? If not, then how would re-negotiating the IMF deal put US$176 million into the government coffers? Who is Jamaica’s largest creditor? Maybe that is the debt that needs restructuring/forgiveness? Will you check that fact and share it with us? If it causes you to re-evaluate your position, will… Read more »
I also suggest much investment in education tech, computers. Revamping of the tourist industry the cruise ships stopping the tourist shopping must be enlarged to the locals. Offshore gambling get the church out of governing the country.
Very interesting article in which some very great solutions to Jamaica’s debt issues were documented!
Folks, this is not a PERFECT solution by any means and it just an OVERVIEW of the path needed to be taken by Jamaica. As far as DETAILS for debt re-organizing goes, it should be about the INTENT of the goals outlined…
“After ALL has been implemented, the govt. could see a CASH FLOW SURPLUS of US $500 in about 3 years.” hhhhmmmm…Patrick ,might I suggest that if we are to go anywhere as a people we must get back to basics before any programs will reap rewards…We must change the “mindsets” of our people. Values,morals,respect for self others and our environment has to be on the front burner. Work attitude and attitude toward each other has to be changed.Our economics can only be fixed when we EARN our way out of debt by Producing,consuming and EXPORTING to EARN the foreign exchange… Read more »