2023 Hurricane Season Braces for Impact: Forecasters Predict 17 Named Storms

NOAA’s GOES-East satellite captured a visible-light image of Hurricane Matthew on Sunday, Oct. 2.
Credits: NASA/NOAA GOES Project</cen

Weather experts are anticipating a total of 17 named storms for the upcoming hurricane season, with seven of them likely to develop into hurricanes, and four potentially becoming major storms.

The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology, based in Barbados, suggests that this season will probably be normal due to the conflicting weather conditions at play.

While the El Niño phenomenon in the Pacific Ocean is reducing storm activity, the warm Atlantic temperatures are expected to increase it.

The institute emphasizes that the presence of Saharan dust over the Atlantic will play a significant role in determining the extent of tropical cyclone activity.


However, accurately predicting the occurrence of Saharan dust can only be done reliably up to about two weeks in advance, rather than three to six months ahead.

Although regional forecasters express confidence in the likelihood of several named storms, their confidence diminishes when it comes to predicting the exact number of hurricanes and major hurricanes expected.

The Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology plans to release its next significant forecast update in early August, just before the peak of the hurricane season. Notably, last year, from July 2 to the end of August, no storms were detected in the Atlantic, despite predictions of an active season.

It is important to note that the Atlantic hurricane season commences on June 1.

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