Nearly 2 Million Could Be Impacted If Covid-19 Reaches Jamaica – Health Minister
An estimated 1.7 million persons in Jamaica could be impacted by the novel coronavirus if it reaches the island according the Health Minister Dr. Christopher Tufton.
While speaking at a press conference on Thursday (March 5), he said health officials have been keeping an eye on the spread of the disease globally and have devised a model to more accurately determine how the virus is likely to spread in Jamaica.
“The modeling is suggesting that if the virus comes to Jamaica and follows the normal pattern of spread as we’ve had in terms of other SARs or influenza type occurrences, we could see up to 1.1 to 1.7 million persons in the population being impacted by the virus.
The fatality rate for Covid-19 varies wildly by age with persons 60 years and older appearing to be hit the hardest.
|
AGE
|
DEATH RATE confirmed cases |
DEATH RATE all cases |
|
80+ years old
|
21.9%
|
14.8%
|
|
70-79 years old
|
8.0%
|
|
|
60-69 years old
|
3.6%
|
|
|
50-59 years old
|
1.3%
|
|
|
40-49 years old
|
0.4%
|
|
|
30-39 years old
|
0.2%
|
|
|
20-29 years old
|
0.2%
|
|
|
10-19 years old
|
0.2%
|
|
| 0-9 years old |
no fatalities
|
There have been over 100,000 confirmed cases of Covid-19 globally with close to 3,500 deaths as of March 6, 2020.
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